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Rental property analysis

How to Analyze a Rental Property Before You Make an Offer

Rent minus the mortgage is not an analysis. Here's the full operating budget I build on every rental, and the three formulas that tell me whether it deserves my money.

Most first-time landlords analyze a rental like this: rent, minus the mortgage, equals profit.

Then the first summer hits. A water heater. A vacancy. A tax bill they forgot to escrow. Suddenly the “profitable” rental is eating their paycheck.

The fix isn’t a fancier spreadsheet. It’s an honest one. Here’s how I analyze a rental property, line by line, before I ever make an offer.

The sequence I follow

Here’s the order:

  1. Screen with the 1% rule against all-in cost. Monthly rent at least 1% of purchase plus repairs plus closing. Explained on the 1 percent rule page.
  2. Verify the income you’re counting on.
  3. Build the operating budget with every expense line.
  4. Calculate net operating income.
  5. Subtract debt service to get cash flow.
  6. Run the formulas: cap rate, cash-on-cash, debt coverage.
  7. Check the purchase against roughly the 70% rule.
  8. Stress test the downside.

Skip a step and you’re guessing.

Step one: verify the income

Income is where sellers get creative. Your job is to be boring.

  • Use the rent comparable units actually lease for nearby, not an asking rent and not the seller’s “could get” number.
  • If the property is occupied, read every lease. Check the term, the rent, the deposit, who pays what utilities.
  • Compare the leases to the rent roll. They should match. If they don’t, ask why.
  • Ask about late payers. Ask for proof of deposits received if the seller will provide it.

Gross potential rent is what the property would collect if every unit were rented at market all year. That’s your starting number, not your ending one.

Step two: the operating expense line items

This is the heart of rental property analysis. Every one of these belongs in the budget, even if you think it won’t happen to you.

Vacancy

Units sit empty between tenants. Count it. Even great properties have turnover.

Repairs and maintenance

Leaky faucets, sticking doors, a broken disposal, a clogged drain. Small, frequent, constant.

Capital expenses (capex)

The big-ticket items with a lifespan: roof, HVAC, water heaters, appliances, flooring, windows, paving. They don’t show up monthly, so set aside for them monthly. Note the age and condition of each major system when you walk the property.

Property management

If you hire a manager, use their actual fee structure, including leasing and renewal fees. If you self-manage, still put something in this line. Your time is worth something, and someday you may hand it off. See self-managing vs. hiring a property manager.

Property taxes

Look up the actual current bill, then think about what changes after you buy. In South Carolina, a rental is generally assessed at the 6% ratio instead of the 4% owner-occupied legal residence ratio, and a sale can trigger a reassessment. The SC property tax page explains the concept. Confirm with the county assessor and your CPA.

Insurance

Get a real landlord policy quote before you offer. Roof age, location and building type all matter.

Owner-paid utilities and services

Water, sewer, trash, common-area electric, lawn care, pest control, HOA dues. On small multifamily, the owner often pays some of these. Find out which.

Everything else

Accounting, legal, licensing or registration fees where they apply, advertising for vacancies, and the software you use to run it all.

Step three: net operating income

NOI = gross potential rent − vacancy − operating expenses.

Notice what’s missing: your loan. NOI describes the property, not your financing. Two buyers with different loans will see the same NOI.

Step four: cash flow

Annual cash flow = NOI − annual debt service.

Debt service is your principal and interest payments for the year. This is the number that hits your bank account, before taxes.

Step five: the formulas

Cap rate formula

Cap rate = NOI ÷ purchase price.

It’s a way to compare properties apples to apples, ignoring financing. Higher cap rate means more income per unit of price; lower means you’re paying more for each unit of income. What’s normal varies by market, property type and condition. Don’t chase a number someone told you on the internet. Compare against similar properties in the same area.

Cash on cash return formula

Cash-on-cash = annual pre-tax cash flow ÷ total cash invested.

Total cash invested means everything out of your pocket: down payment, closing costs, repairs you funded, reserves you had to put in at closing. This tells you how hard your actual dollars are working.

Debt service coverage

DSCR = NOI (or rent, depending on the lender) ÷ debt service.

Lenders use it to judge whether the property can carry its loan. A ratio above one means the property covers its payment with room to spare; below one means it doesn’t. Every lender defines the inputs a little differently. More on the DSCR loans page.

Step six: check the purchase

The formulas tell you how the property performs at a price. They don’t tell you whether the price is smart. My purchase discipline on holds is roughly the 70% rule, the same formula flippers use. That cushion is what protects me if the market, the rents or the refinance don’t cooperate. The maximum allowable offer formulas show variations by exit.

Step seven: stress test

Ask the ugly questions on paper, before they happen in real life.

  • What if a unit sits empty longer than I planned?
  • What if the roof or HVAC goes in year one?
  • What if taxes or insurance go up at renewal?
  • What if I have to hire a manager sooner than expected?
  • If I plan to refinance, what if the appraisal comes in short?

If one bad event wipes out a year of cash flow and drains your reserves, the deal is too thin. Walk, or renegotiate.

Let the paper make the decision

I’ve walked from properties I loved because the analysis said no. I’ve bought properties I didn’t love because the analysis said yes. That discipline is the whole job.

For the broader underwriting sequence beyond rentals, my deal analysis site walks through ARV, repairs and exits. For the big picture, start at the rental property investing overview.

Your next step

Don’t build your analyzer from scratch. Get my free investor playbook, including the one-page deal analyzer I use. Run your next three rental leads through it, every line, and see how many survive. That number will teach you more than any video.

Questions people ask

What is the cap rate formula?

Cap rate equals net operating income divided by the purchase price. Net operating income is gross rent minus vacancy and all operating expenses, before any loan payment. It describes the property, not your financing.

What is the cash on cash return formula?

Cash-on-cash return equals annual pre-tax cash flow divided by the total cash you invested. Cash flow here is after debt service. Cash invested includes your down payment, closing costs, and any repairs you paid out of pocket.

What expenses should I include when analyzing a rental?

Vacancy, repairs and maintenance, capital expenses, property management, property taxes, insurance, and any utilities, HOA dues, lawn care or pest control the owner pays. Then debt service on top of that for cash flow.

Written by Ben Lovro

Real estate investor in Lexington, South Carolina. I buy, fix, wholesale and hold property across the Midlands through Cash Property Offers, built REI Boss to run the business, and wrote Skill Up. Read my story.

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